Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State
ATSwins Predictions Record
ML
ATS
Total
ATSwins Simulations Record
ML
ATS
Total
| ATSwins Results | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| date | Opponent | Favorite | Book ATS | AI scores | Final scores | ML | ATS | Total |
| 03/21/26 | vs Louisville | Michigan State | -5.5 | LOU 71.0, MSU 85.0 | LOU 69, MSU 77 | W | W | L |
| 03/13/26 | vs UCLA | Michigan State | -5.5 | UCLA 84.0, MSU 72.0 | UCLA 88, MSU 84 | W | W | W |
| 03/08/26 | @ Michigan | Michigan | -10.5 | MSU 81.0, MICH 68.0 | MSU 80, MICH 90 | L | W | L |
| 03/05/26 | vs Rutgers | Michigan State | -20.5 | RUTG 65.0, MSU 82.0 | RUTG 87, MSU 91 | W | W | W |
| 03/01/26 | @ Indiana | Michigan State | -3.5 | MSU 64.0, IU 61.0 | MSU 77, IU 64 | W | L | W |
| 02/26/26 | @ Purdue | Purdue | -6.5 | MSU 65.0, PUR 72.0 | MSU 76, PUR 74 | L | L | L |
| 02/22/26 | vs Ohio State | Michigan State | -10.5 | OSU 70.0, MSU 80.0 | OSU 60, MSU 66 | W | W | L |
| 02/17/26 | vs UCLA | Michigan State | -8.0 | UCLA 84.0, MSU 85.0 | UCLA 59, MSU 82 | W | L | W |
| 02/13/26 | @ Wisconsin | Michigan State | -1.5 | MSU 74.0, WIS 75.0 | MSU 71, WIS 92 | W | W | W |
| 02/07/26 | vs Illinois | Michigan State | -1.5 | ILL 50.0, MSU 53.0 | ILL 82, MSU 85 | W | W | L |
| 02/04/26 | @ Minnesota | Michigan State | -8.5 | MSU 74.0, MINN 57.0 | MSU 73, MINN 76 | L | L | L |
| 01/30/26 | vs Michigan | Michigan | -2.5 | MICH 84.0, MSU 61.0 | MICH 83, MSU 71 | W | W | L |
| 01/27/26 | @ Rutgers | Michigan State | -14.5 | MSU 88.0, RUTG 62.0 | MSU 88, RUTG 79 | W | L | W |
| 01/24/26 | vs Maryland | Michigan State | -18.5 | MD 81.0, MSU 84.0 | MD 48, MSU 91 | W | L | L |
| 01/20/26 | @ Oregon | Michigan State | -10.5 | MSU 61.0, ORE 84.0 | MSU 68, ORE 52 | L | L | L |
| 01/17/26 | @ Washington | Michigan State | -3.5 | MSU 79.0, WASH 84.0 | MSU 80, WASH 63 | L | L | L |
| 01/13/26 | vs Indiana | Michigan State | -6.5 | IU 100.0, MSU 75.0 | IU 60, MSU 81 | L | L | L |
| 01/08/26 | vs Northwestern | Michigan State | -13.5 | NU 53.0, MSU 46.0 | NU 66, MSU 76 | L | W | W |
| 01/05/26 | vs USC | Michigan State | -11.5 | USC 84.0, MSU 88.0 | USC 51, MSU 80 | W | L | L |
| 01/02/26 | @ Nebraska | Nebraska | -2.5 | MSU 106.0, NEB 104.0 | MSU 56, NEB 58 | L | W | L |
| 12/29/25 | vs Cornell | Michigan State | -24.5 | COR 80.0, MSU 91.0 | COR 97, MSU 114 | W | W | W |
| 12/20/25 | vs Oakland | Michigan State | -19.5 | OAK 69.0, MSU 75.0 | OAK 70, MSU 79 | W | W | W |
| 12/16/25 | vs Toledo | Michigan State | -23.5 | TOL 61.0, MSU 64.0 | TOL 69, MSU 92 | W | W | L |
| 12/13/25 | @ Penn State | Penn State | -12.5 | MSU 75.0, PSU 59.0 | MSU 76, PSU 72 | W | W | L |
| 12/06/25 | vs Duke | Duke | -1.5 | DUKE 94.0, MSU 65.0 | DUKE 66, MSU 60 | W | W | L |
| 12/02/25 | vs Iowa | Iowa | -5.0 | IOWA 94.0, MSU 62.0 | IOWA 52, MSU 71 | L | L | L |
| 11/27/25 | @ North Carolina | North Carolina | -10.0 | MSU 75.0, UNC 79.0 | MSU 74, UNC 58 | L | W | L |
| 11/25/25 | @ East Carolina | Michigan State | -20.5 | MSU 76.0, ECU 70.0 | MSU 89, ECU 56 | W | L | W |
| 11/21/25 | vs Detroit Mercy | Michigan State | -30.5 | DETM 70.0, MSU 71.0 | DETM 56, MSU 84 | W | W | W |
| 11/18/25 | @ Kentucky | Kentucky | -3.5 | MSU 89.0, UK 73.0 | MSU 83, UK 66 | W | W | L |
| 11/13/25 | vs San José State | Michigan State | -24.5 | SJSU 70.0, MSU 72.0 | SJSU 60, MSU 79 | W | W | W |
| 11/08/25 | vs Arkansas | Michigan State | -2.5 | ARK 66.0, MSU 75.0 | ARK 66, MSU 69 | W | W | W |
| 11/03/25 | vs Colgate | Michigan State | -22.5 | COLG 70.0, MSU 72.0 | COLG 69, MSU 80 | W | W | L |
Basketball Power Index (BPI)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| BPI | 18.7 |
| BPI RK | 13th |
| TREND | 1 |
| BPI OFF | 8.1 |
| BPI DEF | 10.6 |
Basketball Power Index (BPI) Projections
| Metric | Projection |
|---|---|
| OVR W-L | 27.0-8.0 |
| CONF W-L | 15.0-5.0 |
| WIN CONF % | <0.1% |
| REM SOS RK | - |
Glossary
| BPI: | Basketball Power Index measures a team's true strength going forward; expected point margin per 70 possessions vs an average opponent on a neutral court. BPI = BPI OFF + BPI DEF. |
|---|---|
| BPI RK: | Rank in the Basketball Power Index (BPI) among all Division I teams. |
| TREND: | Team's BPI rank change from seven days ago. |
| OFF: | BPI Offense measures a team's offensive strength compared an average offense on a scale of points per 70 possessions. |
| DEF: | BPI Defense measures a team's defensive strength compared an average defense on a scale of points per 70 possessions. |
| OVR W-L: | Projected overall W-L, accounting for results to date and BPI-based projections for remaining scheduled games. It is the average W-L from the season simulations. |
| CONF W-L: | Projected Conference W-L, accounting for results to date and BPI-based projections for remaining scheduled games. It is the average conference W-L from the season simulations. |
| WIN CONF %: | Chance to at least share the best conference W-L record in a team's conference based on simulations. No tie-breaking is applied. |
| REM SOS RK: | Remaining Strength of Schedule rank among all Division I teams based on how a typical top 25 team would do against each team's future schedule. SOS accounts for the game location, day's rest, travel distance, and high altitude in addition to opponent strength. |