ATSWINS

A Thinking Draft Fan’s Guide to the 2024-25 College Basketball Season

Updated Nov. 12, 2024, 4:10 p.m. by J. Kyle Mann 1 min read
NBA News

First and foremost, Id just like to say congratulations.

You officially weathered the storm of following the 2024 NBA draft, a class so shallow in star power that the Hawks selected a high-upside role player with the no.

1 pick.

This years class shouldnt have that problem.

While we dont know for sure which prospects are destined for greatness, there are several potential major-impact players who could be in the mix next June.

Not sure which ones to keep tabs on as the college basketball season ramps up, starting with this weeks Champions Classic? Weve got you covered below, with the five most pressing questions scouts and draftniks will be asking while closely watching the NCAA this draft cycle.

(The international crop is interesting in its own right, but well get to that another time.) Im excited to be fully in the NBA draft lane this season, and I hope youll tag along and humor my dives, both shallow and deep, on the development of these players throughout the season.

Were aiming to have more boots-on-the-ground video, player interviews, snazzy scouting reports and rankings, and a bunch more.

The shorter answer is yes, but there are some caveats.

I dived deep into my thoughts on Flagg in a video that I released in September, before hed played a second of basketball for Duke.

While Id still love for you to watch the video, the yada yada of my takeaway is that while there are unanswered questions about Flaggs offensive ceiling, because he does a bit of everything, this guy fits on any team.

Need some perimeter size and athleticism? Awesome, have some Flagg.

So-so rim protection at the 5 and could use a weakside shot blocker to help? Have some Flagg.

Ball sticking in your offense? Need a smart cutter who can connect to the opposite side of the floor or throw lobs? Heres a prescription for several hundred milligrams of Flagg (not to be mixed with alcohol).

Most teams assume that they need to find an offensive engine before figuring everything else out.

The reality is that every Batman sorely needs a Robin.

Every Coen brother needs ...

well, another Coen brother .

The winning in Michael Jordans career is inextricable from Scottie Pippen.

These are extreme examples, but you get the idea.

My hunch is that Flagg is that Pippen-esque elite supportive piece who has something to add in nearly every area, with the chance to mature into something more.

The question to weigh against that idea is whether there is a player in this class that is a more certain bet to be an elite primary option on offense.

Thats what well be monitoring.

Its possible that the two most likely candidates are on the same Rutgers team: Dylan Harper and Airious Ace Bailey.

Dylan Harper is the son of five-time NBA champion Ron Harper and the younger brother of Ron Harper Jr., whos grinding away for the Maine Celtics in the G League.

Dylan projects as the stronger prospect in the familyhe was a consensus top-five player in his class and is a shade taller than his older brother.

Harper the Younger is a sturdily built lead guard who has little issue driving through the chests of on-ball defenders, although I have questions about that translating seamlessly to the next level.

Hes not especially wiggly or overly creative as a ball handler, but that in and of itself shouldnt be seen as a disqualifying factor.

Harper could very well thread the needle between Cade Cunninghams size and pace with the ball and improve on it with a scoring package that is eerily reminiscent of Jalen Brunson at times.

While finishing and playmaking craft off of one foot has become en vogue, Dylan can do both in the middle of the floor playing off of two feet, which provides a stronger base.

This play in particular is incredibly impressive for a player who turns 19 in Marchwatch the way he stutter rips here to open a driving lane to his right, fakes a spin back to his left to get his defender behind, jump stops, and pivots off his left foot to step back the big and finish with his left hand.

Hes also an invested defender, which sets him up to fit the mold of some trends that well discuss later.

Bailey, the 6-foot-10 scorer from Chattanooga, Tennessee, is the other intriguing freshman at Rutgers, the kind of sizable offensive weapon that lottery teams and fan bases daydream about.

The major selling point here is the cross section of legitimate NBA size and dynamic shotmaking , both off the bounce and from a standstill.

The balance of that one alluring and at times overwhelmingly effective tool of creating his own shot whenever he damn well pleases and the real concern about how often and how effectively he can get off the ball reminds me a lot of the conversations that happened around Michael Porter Jr.

several years ago.

The other possibility is a long shot, I admit, but Im keeping an eye on Tre Johnson, the 6-foot-6 offensive dynamo starring for Rodney Terry at Texas this season.

Johnson has had an interesting but familiar arc from his initial high school sample to nowearly enthusiasm and then, inevitably, nitpicking as more and more tape on him accumulated.

But hes burst out of the gate as a wiry bucket getter with the look of someone who could become a legitimate shotmaker at the higher levels.

I was blown away to see how much hes improved his frame since the spring, looking much more filled out and comfortable operating in the middle of the floor, which could clear the way to improve his playmaking and finishing questions.

One final final wild card is the incendiary VJ Edgecombethe 6-foot-5 guard who lit the draft internet on fire this summer while starring for the Bahamas in the Olympic qualifying games.

Edgecombe, whos playing at Baylor this season, is arguably the best perimeter athlete in the class .

His streaking explosions to the rim are confounding, both in transition and in the half court, but he can put on the Superman cape and go to places that others just cannot because of his speed.

The ball skills are going to be a real point of debate as this season unfolds, and that could dictate whether hes a surefire top-three pick or someone who slips to later in the lottery.

John Calipari has essentially uprooted his entire operation from Kentucky, root and stem, and replanted it in Fayetteville.

He reassembled the gang, bringing Kenny Payne (after one of the worst return-to-alma-mater experiments in history at Louisville) and Brad Calipari, his son, back into the fold, as well as Kentucky mainstays Bruiser Flint, Chin Coleman, and Chuck Martin.

I have no idea how the wins and losses will shake out at Arkansas.

My best guess is that this initial Hog squad could be challenged by some of the issues that have troubled Coach Cal teams in recent yearsdependence on inexperience in an increasingly experienced high-major environment, and a cluster of bucket-getting guards not known as natural ball movers who could find themselves on the wrong side of shooting variance at critical times.

That said, theres plenty of NBA and potentially lottery talent on this Arkansas team.

Im pretty fascinated by the potential range of outcomes for this team.

A decade from now, this roster could have as many as six credible NBA players on it ...

or it could have none.

Knueppel has one of the more enticing skill sets in the class, but when I make my way down the array of offerings from the 6-foot-7, 217-pound wing, I find myself asking what should really be an obvious question: Is Knueppel actually a point guard whos just waiting to make the transition? Could he be a load-bearing primary option going forward? Kons marketing campaign to be a top pick in this draft could align with Dukes overall goalsthe strength of this roster is in its daunting size in the 3-5 spots, with Khaman Maluach, Flagg, and Knueppel.

Their three-man actions will torment defenses all season long, but the long-term effectiveness of that idea could come down to how much respect Tyrese Proctor and sophomore Caleb Foster can muster on a consistent basis.

Moving Knueppel into that primary handler role could give the Blue Devils a real dribble pull-up threat who could lift Dukes pickup point and make its perimeter size even more difficult to contain.

You can already imagine the problems that hell create for defenses in ball screens; now imagine the headache that hell cause when he gives the ball up after the initial action and then comes off a screen.

This situation reminds me a bit of Devin Bookers heading into college.

Im not making a one-to-one comp, but Knueppel is also a highly skilled and dynamic movement shooter (this guy was in the 93rd and then 98th percentiles for all jump shots during his two EYBL seasons) with a solid frame (Kon is beefier and bigger than Book, but still) and a strong foundation of footwork in the midrange who can capably throw lobs and spray skip passes.

Watch the way his shooting gravity and deliberate pace allow him to manipulate this situationsimply selling this rip-through and then gathering as if hes going to pull the trigger brings both defenders to him and allows Mason Gillis to ghost this screen and relocate to the empty corner.

Then Kon attacks and dumps the ball to Gillis, who cans the 3.

Year after year, we see tantalizing athletes and hope that these types of skills materialize in their games.

Kon is displaying a lot of this stuff now; Ill be watching how many opportunities Jon Scheyer and his staff give him to really let loose.

Lets talk shop for a second and get some strong statements off our chests.

Ill start, and then you guys can send me your tweets, passenger pigeons, whatever youd like.

I think Demin, BYUs 6-foot-9 slo-mo playmaker from Moscow, is quite possibly the most talented manipulative playmaker weve had in college basketball since Tyrese Haliburton left Iowa State in 2019.

I also think hes the most talented basketball player to wear the Cougars uniform since Danny Ainge.

Jimmer Fredette was a shotmaker, I get it, but Demins command over the flow of the game is different.

Opinions on Demin to this point have been positive but guarded, yet the 18-year-old who last played for Real Madrid showed the entire repertoire in his debut earlier this month against Central Arkansas.

He sold his shot high and then threw live-dribble darts to shooters low.

He lofted lobs off the backboard in traffic this was absolutely a pass to his big.

He caught the ball on the short roll and moved the low man with his eyes to open a kick to the corner for a 3.

And if theres a prospect in this class that has better overhanded pass touch and placement, I would love to see them.

I let out a yawp that scared the shit out of my dog as I was pulling clips from Egors first game under new BYU coach Kevin Young, who migrated to Provo from the Phoenix Suns.

I concede the caveat that it was against a vastly inferior opponent; I just think the mental acuity of what went down in that game feels like itll translate to the rest of the schedule.

Ignore the size of the opposition and observe the casual boredom that Demin exhibited as he yawned and made the correct decision on the first four pick-and-roll plays of the game, each with a different outcome.

The beauty here is that BYUs transition to the Big 12 will provide Egor opportunities to be tested on both ends.

Im very eager to see what Kelvin Sampson and Bill Self draw up for him and how he handles it, not just on offense but on defense.

Its possible that we were seeing a lack of respect for the opponent, but the attention to detail from Demin was subpar at times.

That will get tested in the Big 12, and it could put some stress on the idea that Demin is such an elite offensive player that his defensive issues can be tolerable on a winning team.

Will I be able to stop myself from getting overexcited? Thats the question.

Better yet, Ill ask a question that I should probably contemplate on Saturday nights while Im tweeting and watching the Matrix sequels on YouTube TV: How high is too high? Demin is a prototypical bonus playmaker and scorer within an offense: He perhaps lacks the offensive assertiveness or toolbox to fully carry an elite offense, but hes versed enough as a shooter and a reader of the game to hurt whatever the defense chooses to do.

Dont be surprised if Georgias Asa Newell, the 6-foot-11 smooth-moving lefty forward who can do a little bit of everything, really climbs over the course of this draft cycle.

His repertoire spans from the finesse (hes already shown flashes that he could grow into a perimeter threat) to the forceful (he can attack the basket and finish with touch).

Newell was a diligent soldier next to immense talent the past couple of seasons at Montverde Academy, primarily acting as an energizer on the offensive glass and feeding off the open spaces that would form around players like Flagg, UConns Liam McNeeley, Baylors Robert Wright III, and Marylands Derik Queen.

I think its pretty critical to be exposed to a variety of roles, but he could do more this season if given the chance.

(I also hope we get to see him use his right hand more.) People whove had to listen to me talk for the past year have suffered (I could probably stop the sentence there) through me repeatedly expressing my enthusiasm for Derrion Reid, the sinewy but solid 6-foot-8 freshman whos set to get major minutes this season for Alabama.

Like Newell, Reid was on a high school superteam last season at Prolific Prep as a teammate of AJ Dybantsa, Aiden Sherrell, and Zoom Diallo, among others.

But every single time I watched that team play, I came away feeling encouraged by the likelihood that Reid could be a switchy defensive pest on one end and a spacing, slashing, finishing force on the other.

Xavier Booker of Michigan State and Kwame KJ Evans of Oregon are two second-year players to watch, too.

Both are looking to improve on less than inspiring freshman seasons where fleeting indicators of pro potential were visible but major questions surfaced about their aspirations to be face-up bigs out to the 3-point line.

Whew.

OK.

Thats certainly a start , and although a slew of names were rattled off here, there are a ton more that are worth mentioning and examining as this process unfolds.

Luckily, thats why were here, baby! Thats exactly what were going to focus on and dissect, from as many angles as possible.

So, swallow the pill.

Buy the ticket.

Take the plunge.

Apply the cream.

Its the start of a beautiful process where we giddily overreact to the highs and hastily dismiss having seen the lows.

And away we go ...

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