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Alabama vs. Florida State picks, odds: Model reveals free Week 1 college football predictions for Saturday

Updated Aug. 30, 2025, 7:19 a.m. by Chelena Goldman 1 min read
NCAAF News

The Florida State Seminoles will host the No.

8 Alabama Crimson Tide in a Week 1 college football clash on Saturday.

The Seminoles are coming off of a disastrous 2024 season that left them at the bottom of the ACC with a 2-10 overall record.

Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide went 9-4 in head coach Kalen DeBoer's first season in Tuscaloosa.

Kickoff from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee is set for 3:30 p.m.

ET.

The Crimson Tide are 14-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs.

Florida State odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 50.5.

Before making any Florida State vs.

Alabama picks, make sure you check out the picks from the SportsLine projection model.

New users at bet365 can get $200 in bonus bets instantly with the latest bet365 bonus code for Saturday's game: The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times.

Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and was a profitable 27-16 combined on money-line and over/under college football picks in 2024.

Anybody following its college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Here are SportsLine model's best bets for Alabama vs.

Florida State on Saturday: Alabama -13.5 Under 50.5 Crimson Tide -13.5 Alabama is looking for consistency on offense and is hoping Ty Simpson can set that tone under center in place of now-departed Jalen Milroe.

Simpson has Ryan Williams as a target, and the wideout recorded 48 catches for 865 yards and eight touchdowns last season.

Add in one of the best offensive lines in college football, and DeBoer's team can start the season off hot against a beleaguered Seminoles defense.

The SportsLine model projects Alabama will cover the spread in 58% of simulations.

Under 50.5 The Tide had some very high-scoring games last season, including a 63-0 blowout against Western Kentucky in Week 1, but it's the Seminoles that could steer this game under 50.5 points.

Florida State games hit the Under nine times last season, going under in every scenario where the total was set at 50 or higher.

The Under is hitting in 58% of simulations.

Want more college football picks for Week 1? You've seen the model's top Alabama vs.

Florida State picks for Week 1.

Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for every Week 1 CFB game here, all from the model that's simulated every game 10,000 times .

Want more from SportsLine? See the top Week 1 college football picks from college football expert Bruce Marshall , who is on a 56-34-3 roll (+1833) on his last 93 CFB ATS picks..

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