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No. 1 Overall Pick Odds for 2026 NFL Draft (Garrett Nussmeier Favored to Be Top Pick)

Updated Aug. 21, 2025, 7:30 a.m. by Sean Treppedi 1 min read
NFL News

The market for the 2026 NFL Drafts No.

1 overall pick has seen some shifts in narrative as camp chatter has started to move the needle, shuffling the top quarterback prospects jockeying for position.

Lets break down the frontrunners and what their current odds reveal about their draft-day potential.

Garrett Nussmeier (+340) leads the pack after an impressive 2024 season where he smoothly stepped into LSUs spotlight, delivering elite arm talent and poise.

That campaign was a masterclass in transitioning a high-pressure role, as he threw for over 4,000 yards and 29 touchdowns while maintaining solid efficiency in the SEC.

His combination of sharp pocket awareness, anticipation and a strong supporting cast has NFL scouts bullish on his ability to lead at the next level, despite some risk from his aggressive style.

Cade Klubnik (+450) is a rising favorite with a stellar junior year jump, combining quick reads and solid mechanics despite questions about arm strength.

With Clemsons top receivers back, Klubnik is primed to prove he can command one of college footballs most talented offenses.

Lanorris Sellers (+500) offers the prototypical dual-threat package NFL teams crave size, arm strength, and rushing ability.

Though his ball security and decision-making need polish, Sellers trajectory as a dynamic playmaker could vault him into the top spot if he continues refining his game.

Drew Allar (+600) impressed last year with a jump in accuracy and confidence, pairing ideal size and arm strength with surprising mobility.

Yet questions remain about his ball placement and performance under pressure, making key games this season critical for his draft positioning.

Arch Manning (+850) remains a tantalizing but uncertain prospect, with limited college tape but undeniable physical traits and dual-threat upside.

This is his first season as the starting signal caller as a junior.

He led this market to go No.

1 in the draft for the entire offseason until his grandfather, Archie Manning, made recent comments about him staying at Texas for 2026, which boosted his adversaries stock over his own.

His will hinge on how much he can develop under coach Sarkisians tutelage.

2026 NFL Draft No.

1 Overall Pick Odds Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook Garrett Nussmeier: +340 Cade Klubnik: +380 LaNorris Sellers: +380 Drew Allar: +470 Arch Manning: +850 Sam Leavitt: +2000 Fernando Mendoza: +2000 Peter Woods: +2000 Keldric Faulk: +2500 T.J.

Parker: +2500 Carson Beck: +3300 Kadyn Proctor: +3300 Spencer Fano: +5500 LT Overton: +5500 Sawyer Robertson: +5500 Caleb Lomu: +6000 John Mateer: +6000 Caleb Downs: +7500 Francis Mauigoa: +7500 Jayden Maiava: +7500 Rueben Bain Jr.: +7500 Miller Moss: +7500 Matayo Uiagalelei: +7500 Kyron Drones: +9500 Jordyn Tyson: +9500 Aidan Chiles: +10000 Jalon Daniels: +10000 Nico Iamaleava: +10000 Ty Simpson: +10000 Jermaine Matthews Jr.: +11000 Create a new FanDuel Sportsbook account, and you can get $150 in bonus bets if you win your first $5 wager .

Download the FanDuel app and deposit a minimum of $5 to claim your FanDuel Promo Code today.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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