Underdog Fantasy NBA Finals Prop Predictions (Game 1): Fading Tyrese Haliburton

The 2025 NBA Finals tip off with a high-octane Game 1 showdown between the Pacers and Thunder, and theres plenty of value to be found in the player prop market.

From a rising backcourt contributor in Indiana to a defensive anchor with scoring upside in OKC, here are three spots were targeting on Underdog Fantasy.

Andrew Nembhard Over 10.5 Points In two regular-season matchups against the Thunder, Andrew Nembhard lit it up.

Averaging 29 minutes per game, the savvy guard posted an impressive 19.5 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 7.0 assists.

While its a stretch to expect those same numbers against OKCs elite defense, Indianas fast-paced offensepaired with the Thunders scoring firepowershould create plenty of opportunities on both ends.

And if the Pacers hope to steal Game 1, theyll need someone beyond Haliburton and Siakam to step up.

History is on Nembhards side.

Over the past two postseasons, hes topped this points line in 22 of 28 games when logging between 28 and 40 minutes, averaging 14.4 points per contest.

The Thunder may be one of the stingiest defenses in the league, but with so much defensive focus on Indianas stars, Nembhard should find some open looks from deepand hes nearly guaranteed a few trips to the free-throw line.

All signs point to him having a strong showing on the road in Game 1.

Lu Dort Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds Lu Dort has consistently torched the Pacers throughout his career, and this season was no exceptionhe averaged 17.5 points and 6.0 rebounds across two regular-season matchups.

While his three-point shot has been inconsistent this postseason (34.5%), Dort looks primed for a breakout in Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Finals on his home floor.

He gained some momentum in the Thunders Game 5 win over the Timberwolves, knocking down four threes on his way to 12 points.

This line feels a bit too low for a player whos locked into heavy minutes thanks to his relentless defense, and whos shown a clear home-court boost all year long.

Despite modest postseason averages (7.8 points, 3.6 boards), Dort is a strong candidate for positive regression toward his regular-season marks (10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds).

Dont be surprised if he makes a loud impact in the Finals opener.

Tyrese Haliburton Under 26.5 Points + Assists Dont get me wrongI fully expect Tyrese Haliburton to rack up assists.

But since Underdog hasnt posted a points-only line, were fading his Points + Assists combo for Game 1.

Hear me out: the Thunders defense is elite when it comes to shutting down perimeter creation and pick-and-roll action.

With defenders like Lu Dort, Alex Caruso, and Cason Wallace swarming the ball, Haliburton wont have many clean looks off the dribble.

And even when he does find a sliver of space, hell be met by the towering presence of Chet Holmgren or Isaiah Hartenstein at the rim.

Dating back to last season, Haliburton has averaged just 12.0 points over his last four games against OKC.

In fact, among all 29 teams he faced this year, the Thunder held him to his lowest scoring average (11.0) and lowest usage rate (13.5%).

Hes more than happy to lean into his role as a facilitatorbut even if he tallies double-digit assists, it may not be enough to clear this line.

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