College football best bets Week 5: Picking a UNC bounce-back, points in Liberty-App State and more

After a rough patch to begin the year, last week turns us in the right direction with a (small) winning week.

I mentioned this last week, but thats part of betting on sports.

Youre not going to win every week and you cant let the losses change your mindset.

You cant chase the losses or push too hard to try to make up for it.

Last week we trusted the process and got a winning week.

Its boring, sure, but we will take it.

Advertisement Last weeks record : 4-3, +0.70 units Season record: 15-19, -4.59 units, -12% ROI A smaller card to kick things off this week.

There are a handful of games that Im waiting for the right number before I place a bet.

Remember, getting the right price is key to success when betting on sports.

There is no need to rush things if the price isnt right.

Follow me on X ( @amock19 ) or check back in on the article for any updates that come later in the week.

Best of luck! Free, daily sports updates direct to your inbox.

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Best bets for college football Week 5 App States defense got absolutely torched against Clemson a few weeks ago and then last week followed it up with another dreadful performance against South Alabama .

Liberty should have little trouble moving the ball.

App State has played at a top-25 pace so far this season on offense while Liberty has been just slightly below average.

An above-average paced game with App States defense should mean points and a lot of them.

This game opened with Georgia Southern as the favorite and the market has pushed this all the way out to Georgia Southern getting more than a field goal.

Thats a bit too rich in my mind.

My number does make Georgia State the favorite but nowhere near a field goal.

These teams are about even per my projections and Georgia States home field advantage isnt worth a field goal.

Ive been high on Boise State since the preseason and I think Ashton Jeanty is the best running back in the country .

However, this price is a bit steep for my liking.

The early money disagrees with me, but I have doubts that this gets to double digits so Im fine with grabbing more than a touchdown and an extra point here.

Washington States defense hasnt been great to start the year and the aforementioned Jeanty can score any time the ball is in his hands, but my number is closer to a field goal than above a touchdown.

Yes, North Carolina looked awful against James Madison last week.

There were even rumors that head coach Mack Brown might step down on the spot.

But I think this is a bit of an overreaction to North Carolinas performance last week despite a couple of UNC injuries.

Could they come out flat? Sure, but in a rivalry game I think the Tar Heels arent quitting on the season, or at least this game.

My model makes this closer to a pick em and I wanted to take the Tar Heels against the spread at +3, but the line has since moved to +2.5, which is less value than Id like so Im taking half a unit on the moneyline.

If we see +3 again, the spread becomes a value again.

(Photo of Mack Brown: Bob Donnan / Imagn Images).

This article has been shared from the original article on theathleticuk, here is the link to the original article.