College football best bets Week 14: Going with Clemson, an Iowa over and more

Well, things have not turned.

Another tough week.

Totals have really let us down recently which I think is mostly a run of bad variance.

Sides have been a disaster and I havent been able to get on the right side of the market over the last few weeks.

Totals, however, have beaten the closing line 10 out of 14 times while we have only won three of those bets while pushing once.

Thats just not going to get it done.

Advertisement If youre unfamiliar with closing line value, beating the closing line means betting a game at a better price than what the price is when the game starts.

That would be considered beating the market.

For me, if you beat the market two-thirds of the time, youll probably see success over the long-term.

The totals have been good in that regard.

Unfortunately, my sides have not.

Last weeks record : 1-5, -4.50 units Season record: 45-56-4, -16.62 units, -14.5% ROI Eight bets in total this week, four each on sides and totals.

There is something in the Iron Bowl that Im eyeing up but need some movement before getting involved.

Ill update if so.

As always shop around for the best price and good luck to us! Best bets for college football Week 14 I have some Bowling Green MAC futures (+700) so I contemplated not having extra risk here, but I did hit their win total over so Im not going to shy away.

I think Bowling Green is the superior team here.

This line is short at anything under a field goal.

Lets get this win and cheer for the Falcons next week in the MAC Championship Game.

On the contrary, this is a bit of a hedge against my Liberty CUSA futures.

I still have value to play here, but Liberty hasnt met its preseason expectations.

The Flames just havent been the same since the stunning loss to Kennesaw State .

My numbers make this closer to a pick em so Im happy to take anything at a field goal.

Make sure to shop around because there is a +3.5 out there at a little bit more expensive price.

I guess the theme this week is betting on games involving futures that I bet from the preseason.

I bet South Alabama under 6.5 wins at +148 so I could reduce risk here, but this is a pretty big edge on Texas State.

I think Texas State is the much better team here and am happy with anything at -2.5 or better.

This is a huge game as both teams are alive to make the College Football Playoff.

While Clemsons result doesnt knock them out, this is a must-win game for the Gamecocks .

My model has been higher on Clemson than just about everyone this year and especially the CFP committee.

South Carolinas defense is legit, but I still have questions about the offense, especially on the road against a good Clemson defense.

(Photo of Cade Klubnik : Isaiah Vazquez / Getty Images).

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