PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
12-11-0 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
14-11-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Aleksei Kolosov
#35 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov | None-None | 3.82 | 0.871 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.89 | 0.885 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.82
GAA
Ldr 2.89
0.871
Save %
Ldr 0.885
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
BRUINS
0%
FLYERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHI By 1 goal
16.2%
PHI By 2-3 goals
15.7%
BOS By 1 goal
18.5%
BOS By 2-3 goals
21.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.34
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
2.62
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
BOS @ PHI
1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026
PHI @ BOS
3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025
PHI @ BOS
3 - 2
Sep 27, 2025
BOS @ PHI
4 - 3
Dec 7, 2024
PHI @ BOS
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+82.7% more
Boston: 28.1
vs
Philadelphia: 15.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.6%
Boston: 54.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 51.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.5% more
Philadelphia: 21.0
vs
Boston: 15.0
Takeaways (L5)
+11.4% more
Philadelphia: 6.1
vs
Boston: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.3
3
BOS Score
2.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 21.0
9.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
54.3 / 51.6
48.5 / 51.5
Hits
28.1 / 15.4
33.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
9.4 / 10.3
16.7 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 31.9
31.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 6.1
6.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
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