Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Flyers BOS @ PHI

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

4-6-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Nov 2 • 1:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

4-6-0  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Nikita Zadorov
GOALTENDER

Nikita Zadorov

#91 | Defense
@
Aleksei Kolosov
GOALTENDER

Aleksei Kolosov

#35 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nikita Zadorov None-None -- -- --
Aleksei Kolosov None-None 2.33 0.909 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.33
-- Save % 0.909
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
BRUINS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Boston)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

57.5%

Flyers Cover

42.5%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1 goal

18.8%

BOS By 2-3 goals

22.8%

PHI By 1 goal

15.6%

PHI By 2-3 goals

14.7%

AI Model Projected Score
1.97
BOSTON
1.59
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
3
BOSTON
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Bruins (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 3.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 BOS @ PHI 1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026 PHI @ BOS 3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025 PHI @ BOS 3 - 2
Sep 27, 2025 BOS @ PHI 4 - 3
Dec 7, 2024 PHI @ BOS 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +20.5% more
Boston: 27.1 vs Philadelphia: 21.5
Power Play % (L5) +4.5%
Boston: 13.9% vs Philadelphia: 9.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +46.7% more
Philadelphia: 21.0 vs Boston: 14.3
Faceoff % (L5) +7.7%
Philadelphia: 56.1% vs Boston: 48.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 2.0 3
PHI Score 1.6 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 21.0 / 14.3 19.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 56.1 / 48.3 46.7 / 53.3
Hits 21.5 / 27.1 30.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 946.0 / 1394.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 22.5 / 23.7 20.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 7.2 / 6.8 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
81%MONEY19%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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