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UCF

KNIGHTSUCF

21-12  |  Road

71
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 3:31 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

24-12  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
40%
📊
BRUINS
60%
KNIGHTS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UCLA)
KnightsUCF (-3.5) 0 BruinsUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

8.1%

Bruins Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)

UCF By 1-7 points

5.8%

UCF By 8-14 points

1.4%

UCLA By 1-7 points

16.9%

UCLA By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
62
UCF
76
UCLA
Simulated Score
UCF
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 UCF @ UCLA 71 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +56.7% more
UCLA: 18.7 vs UCF: 11.9
Steals (L5) +40.8% more
UCLA: 8.0 vs UCF: 5.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +17.0%
UCLA: 39.3% vs UCF: 22.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +11.3%
UCLA: 78.4% vs UCF: 67.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCF Score 62.0 71
UCLA Score 76.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.3 / 22.4 29.0 / 38.0
Assists 18.7 / 11.9 11.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.0 9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 40.1 40.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 78.4 / 67.1 72.0 / 31.0
Rebounding 30.4 / 39.2 41.0 / 53.0
Steals 8.0 / 5.7 13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 7.3 / 10.3 8.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCF
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
UCLA Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCF
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
UCLA Advantage
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.2
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
UCF
UCLA
UCF
ML
67% 24-12
55% 18-15
76% 25-8
65% 20-11
ATS
61% 22-14
55% 18-15
76% 25-8
65% 20-11
TTL
61% 22-14
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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