Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Flyers BOS @ PHI

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

43-26-8  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Apr 5 • 3:30 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

38-26-12  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Nikita Zadorov
GOALTENDER

Nikita Zadorov

#91 | Defense
@
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nikita Zadorov None-None -- -- --
Dan Vladar None-None 0.96 0.947 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 0.96
-- Save % 0.947
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
BRUINS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

30.9%

Flyers Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

PHI By 1 goal

12.1%

PHI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BOSTON
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
5
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flyers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 BOS @ PHI 1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026 PHI @ BOS 3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025 PHI @ BOS 3 - 2
Sep 27, 2025 BOS @ PHI 4 - 3
Dec 7, 2024 PHI @ BOS 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.7% more
Boston: 18.6 vs Philadelphia: 14.7
Faceoff % (L5) +4.8%
Boston: 52.0% vs Philadelphia: 47.2%
Hits (L5) +48.6% more
Philadelphia: 27.6 vs Boston: 18.6
Power Play % (L5) +18.9%
Philadelphia: 20.4% vs Boston: 1.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.0 1
PHI Score 2.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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