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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

32-25-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Mar 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

28-21-11  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Dmitri Simashev
GOALTENDER

Dmitri Simashev

#26 | Defense
@
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dmitri Simashev None-None -- -- --
Dan Vladar None-None 2.08 0.909 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.08
-- Save % 0.909
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
📊
FLYERS
0%
MAMMOTH --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
MammothUTA (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

30.9%

Flyers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

UTA By 1 goal

12.1%

UTA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

PHI By 1 goal

19.7%

PHI By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
UTAH
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
UTAH
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flyers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flyers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 UTA @ PHI 3 - 0
Jan 21, 2026 PHI @ UTA 4 - 5
Feb 4, 2025 PHI @ UTA 2 - 3
Dec 8, 2024 UTA @ PHI 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +33.7% more
Philadelphia: 22.6 vs Utah: 16.9
Takeaways (L5) +19.7% more
Philadelphia: 4.9 vs Utah: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5) +19.2% more
Philadelphia: 14.7 vs Utah: 12.4
Power Play % (L5) +4.1%
Utah: 24.4% vs Philadelphia: 20.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 3.0 3
PHI Score 4.0 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
17%MONEY83%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
UTA
PHI
UTA
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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