Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Tigers CAM @ TOW

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

13-16  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 2:00 PM ET
SECU Arena
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

15-14  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Towson)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

46.0%

Tigers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

CAM By 1-7 points

24.3%

CAM By 8-14 points

13.7%

TOW By 1-7 points

26.2%

TOW By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
79
CAMPBELL
80
TOWSON
Simulated Score
68
CAMPBELL
72
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 CAM @ TOW 67 - 71
Feb 22, 2025 TOW @ CAM 76 - 67
Jan 20, 2024 CAM @ TOW 43 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +225.2% more
Towson: 4.3 vs Campbell: 1.3
Steals (L5) +31.5% more
Campbell: 6.9 vs Towson: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5) +11.2%
Campbell: 79.1% vs Towson: 67.9%
Turnovers (L5) +10.8% more
Campbell: 10.0 vs Towson: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 79.0 67
TOW Score 80.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.9 / 32.4 44.0 / 29.0
Assists 10.4 / 10.5 9.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.3 / 1.3 9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 40.2 45.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 67.9 / 79.1 82.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 35.7 38.0 / 36.0
Steals 4.7 / 6.9 1.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 10.0 8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
CAM
TOW
CAM
ML
66% 21-11
65% 22-12
62% 20-12
71% 24-10
ATS
66% 21-11
67% 22-11-1
62% 20-12
71% 24-10
TTL
53% 17-15
53% 18-16
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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