WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
19-8 | Road
71
OREGON
DUCKSORE
10-17 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
0%
DUCKS
100%
BADGERS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Wisconsin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIS -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)
WIS By 1-7 points
26.8%
WIS By 8-14 points
24.3%
ORE By 1-7 points
16.9%
ORE By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Wisconsin
80
WISCONSIN
Oregon
74
OREGON
Simulated Score
Wisconsin
68
WISCONSIN
Oregon
72
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Badgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Badgers (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
WIS @ ORE
71 - 85
Feb 22, 2025
ORE @ WIS
77 - 73
Mar 21, 2023
WIS @ ORE
61 - 58
Mar 22, 2019
ORE @ WIS
72 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Wisconsin: 15.4
vs
Oregon: 13.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.9%
Wisconsin: 37.7%
vs
Oregon: 26.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Wisconsin: 48.1%
vs
Oregon: 43.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+56.0% more
Oregon: 12.7
vs
Wisconsin: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIS Score
80.0
71
ORE Score
74.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 37.7
47.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.3 / 15.4
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.5
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 48.1
52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
81.8 / 75.8
80.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 31.8
35.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.4
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 8.1
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
WIS
ORE
WIS
ML
56%
18-14
60%
21-14
62%
18-11
69%
24-11
ATS
56%
18-14
51%
18-17
62%
18-11
69%
24-11
TTL
59%
19-13
57%
20-15
100%
29-0
100%
35-0
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