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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

24-19-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Jan 29 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

31-20-3  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dan Vladar None-None 0.00 1.000 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 3.00 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 3.00
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
FLYERS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

PHI By 1 goal

12.1%

PHI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
PHILADELPHIA
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 BOS @ PHI 1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026 PHI @ BOS 3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025 PHI @ BOS 3 - 2
Sep 27, 2025 BOS @ PHI 4 - 3
Dec 7, 2024 PHI @ BOS 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +15.9%
Boston: 27.5% vs Philadelphia: 11.6%
Faceoff % (L5) +7.0%
Boston: 52.4% vs Philadelphia: 45.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.5% more
Philadelphia: 15.9 vs Boston: 13.3
Takeaways (L5) +12.2% more
Philadelphia: 4.8 vs Boston: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 3.0 3
BOS Score 4.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.3 / 15.9 9.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 52.4 / 45.4 56.6 / 43.4
Hits 22.1 / 22.1 15.0 / 36.0
Power Play % 27.5 / 11.6 0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 25.3 / 24.2 27.0 / 36.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 4.8 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
64%MONEY36%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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