PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
24-18-9 | Road
3
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
24-20-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 4.19 | 0.867 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.19
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.867
Save %
Ldr 0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
100%
FLYERS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
PHI @ CBJ
3 - 5
Apr 15, 2025
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 0
Jan 14, 2025
PHI @ CBJ
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.7%
Philadelphia: 49.1%
vs
Columbus: 44.5%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.8% more
Columbus: 28.0
vs
Philadelphia: 22.8
Hits (L5)
+19.6% more
Columbus: 27.1
vs
Philadelphia: 22.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.1% more
Columbus: 16.3
vs
Philadelphia: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
3
CBJ Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 14.8
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
44.5 / 49.1
62.1 / 37.9
Hits
27.1 / 22.6
17.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
2636.0 / 1737.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 22.8
31.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.8
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
PHI
CBJ
PHI
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-2
50%
2-2
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