UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
14-6 | Road
73
OREGON
DUCKSORE
8-12 | Home
57
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
DUCKS
0%
BRUINS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OREGON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Oregon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORE)
UCLA By 1-7 points
24.3%
UCLA By 8-14 points
13.7%
ORE By 1-7 points
26.2%
ORE By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
UCLA
65
UCLA
Oregon
66
OREGON
Simulated Score
UCLA
68
UCLA
Oregon
72
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
UCLA @ ORE
73 - 57
Dec 6, 2025
ORE @ UCLA
63 - 74
Jan 30, 2025
ORE @ UCLA
52 - 78
Dec 8, 2024
UCLA @ ORE
73 - 71
Mar 14, 2024
UCLA @ ORE
66 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.1% more
Oregon: 4.2
vs
UCLA: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+17.4% more
Oregon: 6.7
vs
UCLA: 5.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.2% more
Oregon: 11.0
vs
UCLA: 9.4
Assists (L5)
+35.9% more
UCLA: 14.6
vs
Oregon: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score
65.0
73
ORE Score
66.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 39.4
28.0 / 39.0
Assists
9.4 / 14.6
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.5
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 48.3
36.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 67.9
67.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
27.8 / 29.9
36.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.7
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 9.4
10.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA
Advantage
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
UCLA
ORE
UCLA
ML
56%
18-14
67%
24-12
62%
18-11
76%
25-8
ATS
56%
18-14
61%
22-14
62%
18-11
76%
25-8
TTL
59%
19-13
61%
22-14
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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