PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
23-17-8 | Road
4
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
25-20-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 3.96 | 0.862 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.96
--
Save %
0.862
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
MAMMOTH
0%
FLYERS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Utah
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Utah
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
UTA @ PHI
3 - 0
Jan 21, 2026
PHI @ UTA
4 - 5
Feb 4, 2025
PHI @ UTA
2 - 3
Dec 8, 2024
UTA @ PHI
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+55.6% more
Utah: 4.7
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.3% more
Utah: 29.6
vs
Philadelphia: 23.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.0% more
Utah: 15.5
vs
Philadelphia: 14.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
Utah: 55.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 51.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
4
UTA Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.5 / 14.1
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
55.9 / 51.1
43.3 / 56.7
Hits
20.5 / 22.2
26.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
3.1 / 4.5
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 23.8
27.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 3.0
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
PHI
UTA
PHI
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
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