Home / NHL Projections NHL / Flyers @ Golden Knights PHI @ VGK

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

22-17-8  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Jan 19 • 8:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

24-11-12  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Cam York
GOALTENDER

Cam York

#8 | Defense
@
Adin Hill
GOALTENDER

Adin Hill

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Cam York None-None -- -- --
Adin Hill None-None 2.07 0.882 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.07
-- Save % 0.882
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
FLYERS --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

15.9%

Golden Knights Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

PHI By 1 goal

6.6%

PHI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

VGK By 1 goal

17.5%

VGK By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
PHILADELPHIA
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
3
PHILADELPHIA
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 19, 2026 PHI @ VGK 2 - 1
Dec 11, 2025 VGK @ PHI 3 - 2
Jan 2, 2025 PHI @ VGK 2 - 5
Nov 25, 2024 VGK @ PHI 5 - 4
Nov 18, 2023 VGK @ PHI 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +40.3% more
Vegas: 4.3 vs Philadelphia: 3.0
Power Play % (L5) +24.7%
Vegas: 31.4% vs Philadelphia: 6.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +21.6% more
Vegas: 15.4 vs Philadelphia: 12.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.1% more
Vegas: 31.6 vs Philadelphia: 27.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 1.0 2
VGK Score 3.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.4 / 12.6 11.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 44.4 / 45.3 37.5 / 62.5
Hits 21.8 / 25.9 23.0 / 15.0
Power Play % 31.4 / 6.7 14.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 31.6 / 27.2 25.0 / 17.0
Takeaways 4.3 / 3.0 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
79%MONEY21%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
PHI
VGK
PHI
ML
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
TTL
25% 1-3
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 3 hours, 33 minutes ago
NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…
timesargus 1 day, 2 hours ago
Flyers Land Michael Bunting in Bid to Stop Early Season Skid
yourvalley_net 2 days, 3 hours ago
Phillies Poised for Payroll Flexibility as Walker and Castellano…
si 2 days, 9 hours ago
Flyers' Roster Shake-Up: Denver Barkey Returns, Nikita Grebenkin…
yardbarker 3 days, 3 hours ago