MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
26-14 | Road
139
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
17-22 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
BUCKS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIN By 1-7 points
18.6%
MIN By 8-14 points
8.0%
MIL By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
99
MINNESOTA
Milwaukee
104
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u229.0
Loss
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim
u229.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
MIN @ MIL
139 - 106
Dec 21, 2025
MIL @ MIN
100 - 103
Apr 8, 2025
MIN @ MIL
103 - 110
Feb 12, 2025
MIL @ MIN
103 - 101
Feb 23, 2024
MIL @ MIN
112 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Milwaukee: 73.8%
vs
Minnesota: 67.3%
Blocks (L5)
+32.4% more
Minnesota: 6.2
vs
Milwaukee: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+29.6% more
Minnesota: 8.7
vs
Milwaukee: 6.1
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
Minnesota: 47.5
vs
Milwaukee: 42.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
99.0
139
MIL Score
104.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 39.3
36.0 / 52.0
Assists
26.6 / 27.5
29.0 / 37.0
Blocks
4.2 / 6.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 50.1
48.0 / 60.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 67.3
58.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 47.5
32.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.1 / 8.7
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.8
20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
MIN
MIL
MIN
ML
64%
61-35
54%
63-53
60%
49-32
54%
50-43
ATS
68%
65-31
58%
67-49
60%
49-32
54%
50-43
TTL
55%
53-43
63%
72-43-1
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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