AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
CORNHUSKERS
0%
DUCKS
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
ORE By 1-7 points
0.0%
ORE By 8-14 points
0.0%
NEB By 1-7 points
0.0%
NEB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Oregon
45
OREGON
Nebraska
98
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Oregon
72
OREGON
Nebraska
78
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (-12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
ORE @ NEB
55 - 90
Feb 2, 2025
NEB @ ORE
77 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.6% more
Nebraska: 7.1
vs
Oregon: 5.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.7%
Nebraska: 78.6%
vs
Oregon: 71.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Nebraska: 44.5%
vs
Oregon: 42.2%
Blocks (L5)
+62.7% more
Oregon: 5.2
vs
Nebraska: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORE Score
45.0
55
NEB Score
98.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 32.5
47.0 / 26.0
Assists
16.4 / 15.8
20.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.9 / 5.2
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 42.2
53.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 71.9
82.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 37.9
34.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.1 / 5.6
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 11.4
6.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
ORE
NEB
ORE
ML
51%
18-17
56%
18-14
62%
21-13
62%
18-11
ATS
54%
19-16
56%
18-14
62%
21-13
62%
18-11
TTL
63%
22-13
59%
19-13
100%
34-0
100%
29-0