OREGON
DUCKSORE
8-6 | Road
85
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
7-7 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
DUCKS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
OREGON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Oregon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORE -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORE)
ORE By 1-7 points
6.8%
ORE By 8-14 points
16.9%
RUTG By 1-7 points
1.4%
RUTG By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Oregon
62
OREGON
Rutgers
41
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Oregon
69
OREGON
Rutgers
74
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ducks (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 5, 2026
ORE @ RUTG
85 - 88
Feb 16, 2025
RUTG @ ORE
57 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+39.5% more
Oregon: 17.0
vs
Rutgers: 10.3
Blocks (L5)
+38.8% more
Oregon: 6.1
vs
Rutgers: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+11.1% more
Oregon: 39.7
vs
Rutgers: 35.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
Oregon: 47.7%
vs
Rutgers: 38.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORE Score
62.0
85
RUTG Score
41.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 35.4
33.0 / 41.0
Assists
10.3 / 17.0
10.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.7 / 6.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.2 / 47.7
43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 68.0
88.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 39.7
32.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.7 / 5.7
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 11.9
7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
RUTG
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
ORE
RUTG
ORE
ML
53%
18-16
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
62%
18-11
ATS
68%
23-11
56%
18-14
70%
23-10
62%
18-11
TTL
53%
18-16
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
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