MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
11-17 | Road
100
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
18-10 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
BUCKS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIL By 1-7 points
24.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
13.7%
MIN By 1-7 points
26.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
88
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
89
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
MIN @ MIL
139 - 106
Dec 21, 2025
MIL @ MIN
100 - 103
Apr 8, 2025
MIN @ MIL
103 - 110
Feb 12, 2025
MIL @ MIN
103 - 101
Feb 23, 2024
MIL @ MIN
112 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+94.1% more
Minnesota: 5.6
vs
Milwaukee: 2.9
Rebounding (L5)
+32.9% more
Minnesota: 50.4
vs
Milwaukee: 37.9
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
Milwaukee: 16.6
vs
Minnesota: 14.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
Milwaukee: 79.5%
vs
Minnesota: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
88.0
100
MIN Score
89.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 37.1
30.0 / 29.0
Assists
24.4 / 24.7
28.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.6 / 2.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 46.3
42.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 79.5
65.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
50.4 / 37.9
46.0 / 51.0
Steals
8.8 / 8.5
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 16.6
10.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
MIL
MIN
MIL
ML
54%
63-53
64%
61-35
54%
50-43
60%
49-32
ATS
58%
67-49
68%
65-31
54%
50-43
60%
49-32
TTL
63%
72-43-1
55%
53-43
100%
93-0
100%
81-0
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