AUBURN
TIGERSAUB
5-1 | Road
84
OREGON
DUCKSORE
4-1 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
DUCKS
0%
TIGERS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
OREGON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Oregon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORE -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORE)
AUB By 1-7 points
4.8%
AUB By 8-14 points
1.1%
ORE By 1-7 points
15.3%
ORE By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Auburn
56
AUBURN
Oregon
71
OREGON
Simulated Score
Auburn
68
AUBURN
Oregon
76
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
AUB @ ORE
84 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.4% more
Oregon: 11.8
vs
Auburn: 9.4
Steals (L5)
+37.4% more
Auburn: 10.4
vs
Oregon: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+28.3% more
Auburn: 18.3
vs
Oregon: 13.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Auburn: 51.4%
vs
Oregon: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AUB Score
56.0
84
ORE Score
71.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 33.8
27.0 / 22.0
Assists
13.1 / 18.3
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.4
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 51.4
38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 71.2
78.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
39.3 / 38.6
46.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.5 / 10.4
3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 9.4
18.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUB
Advantage
22-16-0
(57.9%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUB
Advantage
15-23-0
(39.5%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +4.2
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
AUB
ORE
AUB
ML
56%
18-14
58%
22-16
62%
18-11
75%
24-8
ATS
56%
18-14
74%
28-10
62%
18-11
75%
24-8
TTL
59%
19-13
53%
20-18
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
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