VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
14-6-9 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
16-9-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.87 | 0.864 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.87
--
Save %
0.864
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
FLYERS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
PHI @ VGK
2 - 1
Dec 11, 2025
VGK @ PHI
3 - 2
Jan 2, 2025
PHI @ VGK
2 - 5
Nov 25, 2024
VGK @ PHI
5 - 4
Nov 18, 2023
VGK @ PHI
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+10.6%
Vegas: 20.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 9.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+8.2% more
Vegas: 5.5
vs
Philadelphia: 5.1
Hits (L5)
+22.5% more
Philadelphia: 19.7
vs
Vegas: 16.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.6%
Philadelphia: 54.6%
vs
Vegas: 50.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
3
PHI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 14.3
13.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.6 / 50.0
45.7 / 54.3
Hits
19.7 / 16.1
25.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
9.7 / 20.3
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.5 / 30.9
19.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.5
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
VGK
PHI
VGK
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
TTL
20%
1-4
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
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