Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Cougars JKST @ HOU

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

1-8  |  Road

38
FINAL
Wed, Dec 10 • 8:00 PM ET
Fertitta Center
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

9-1  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
TIGERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Houston)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 CougarsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

27.4%

Cougars Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

JKST By 1-7 points

16.9%

JKST By 8-14 points

6.8%

HOU By 1-7 points

26.8%

HOU By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
74
JACKSON STATE
80
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
54
JACKSON STATE
82
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 10, 2025 JKST @ HOU 38 - 80
Nov 4, 2024 JKST @ HOU 40 - 97
Dec 9, 2023 JKST @ HOU 55 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +93.1% more
Houston: 18.1 vs Jackson State: 9.4
Blocks (L5) +43.9% more
Houston: 3.9 vs Jackson State: 2.7
Steals (L5) +37.3% more
Houston: 9.2 vs Jackson State: 6.7
Rebounding (L5) +20.7% more
Houston: 38.7 vs Jackson State: 32.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 74.0 38
HOU Score 80.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 29.2 33.0 / 32.0
Assists 18.1 / 9.4 19.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.7 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 37.0 48.0 / 30.0
Free Throw % 77.5 / 78.5 54.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 38.7 / 32.1 42.0 / 28.0
Steals 9.2 / 6.7 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 14.6 11.0 / 25.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
HOU Advantage
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
JKST
HOU
JKST
ML
70% 26-11
77% 24-7
68% 23-11
73% 19-7
ATS
70% 26-11
77% 24-7
68% 23-11
73% 19-7
TTL
59% 22-15
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 6 hours, 42 minutes ago
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days ago