OREGON
DUCKSORE
4-5 | Road
63
UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
7-2 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
BRUINS
0%
DUCKS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (UCLA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)
ORE By 1-7 points
9.3%
ORE By 8-14 points
2.7%
UCLA By 1-7 points
21.6%
UCLA By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Oregon
67
OREGON
UCLA
78
UCLA
Simulated Score
Oregon
68
OREGON
UCLA
71
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
UCLA @ ORE
73 - 57
Dec 6, 2025
ORE @ UCLA
63 - 74
Jan 30, 2025
ORE @ UCLA
52 - 78
Dec 8, 2024
UCLA @ ORE
73 - 71
Mar 14, 2024
UCLA @ ORE
66 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
UCLA: 16.5
vs
Oregon: 14.3
Steals (L5)
+13.4% more
UCLA: 6.3
vs
Oregon: 5.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
UCLA: 40.5%
vs
Oregon: 31.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
UCLA: 49.8%
vs
Oregon: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORE Score
67.0
63
UCLA Score
78.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.5 / 31.7
44.0 / 30.0
Assists
16.5 / 14.3
10.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.0
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 43.3
44.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 69.5
86.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 34.9
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.5
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 12.7
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
UCLA
Advantage
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
ORE
UCLA
ORE
ML
67%
24-12
56%
18-14
76%
25-8
62%
18-11
ATS
61%
22-14
56%
18-14
76%
25-8
62%
18-11
TTL
61%
22-14
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
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