Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Cougars TOW @ HOU

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

1-0  |  Road

48
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:00 PM ET
Fertitta Center
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

1-0  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
TIGERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston)
TigersTOW (-3.5) 0 CougarsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

46.0%

Cougars Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

TOW By 1-7 points

24.3%

TOW By 8-14 points

13.7%

HOU By 1-7 points

26.2%

HOU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
65
TOWSON
66
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
58
TOWSON
76
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 TOW @ HOU 48 - 65
Nov 16, 2023 HOU @ TOW 65 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.6% more
Houston: 5.3 vs Towson: 3.3
Steals (L5) +13.1% more
Houston: 7.7 vs Towson: 6.8
Assists (L5) +10.9% more
Houston: 11.4 vs Towson: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +9.6% more
Houston: 40.8 vs Towson: 37.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOW Score 65.0 48
HOU Score 66.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 35.0 25.0 / 17.0
Assists 11.4 / 10.3 14.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.3 / 3.3 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 44.9 42.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 69.1 71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 37.3 35.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.8 11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 9.2 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
HOU Advantage
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
TOW
HOU
TOW
ML
70% 26-11
66% 21-11
68% 23-11
62% 20-12
ATS
70% 26-11
66% 21-11
68% 23-11
62% 20-12
TTL
59% 22-15
53% 17-15
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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