RICE
OWLSRICE
1-0 | Road
63
OREGON
DUCKSORE
1-0 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
DUCKS
0%
OWLS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
OREGON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Oregon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORE -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORE)
RICE By 1-7 points
3.3%
RICE By 8-14 points
0.6%
ORE By 1-7 points
12.2%
ORE By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
62
RICE
Oregon
79
OREGON
Simulated Score
Rice
63
RICE
Oregon
82
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
RICE @ ORE
63 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+38.1% more
Oregon: 14.9
vs
Rice: 10.8
Blocks (L5)
+22.0% more
Oregon: 4.3
vs
Rice: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+32.9% more
Rice: 15.7
vs
Oregon: 10.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.5%
Rice: 69.0%
vs
Oregon: 67.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
62.0
63
ORE Score
79.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 27.9
25.0 / 41.0
Assists
10.6 / 15.7
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.6
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 45.7
33.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 69.0
68.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
40.6 / 41.6
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.3
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 10.8
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
ORE
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
RICE
ORE
RICE
ML
56%
18-14
53%
16-14
62%
18-11
53%
16-14
ATS
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
62%
18-11
53%
16-14
TTL
59%
19-13
77%
23-7
100%
29-0
100%
30-0
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