WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
2-1-0 | Road
5
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
1-1-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 2.00 | 0.882 | -- |
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.882
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
FLYERS
100%
JETS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
PHI @ WPG
7 - 1
Oct 16, 2025
WPG @ PHI
5 - 2
Mar 6, 2025
WPG @ PHI
4 - 1
Mar 1, 2025
PHI @ WPG
2 - 1
Feb 8, 2024
WPG @ PHI
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+29.2% more
Winnipeg: 24.6
vs
Philadelphia: 17.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.4% more
Winnipeg: 18.3
vs
Philadelphia: 14.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.3% more
Winnipeg: 26.0
vs
Philadelphia: 21.8
Takeaways (L5)
+15.7% more
Winnipeg: 4.1
vs
Philadelphia: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.0
5
PHI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 18.3
16.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 50.7
46.7 / 53.3
Hits
17.4 / 24.6
15.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
8.9 / 17.5
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
21.8 / 26.0
17.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
WPG
PHI
WPG
ML
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
100%
4-0
TTL
20%
1-4
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
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