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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Sep 29 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
FLYERS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Boston)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

32.3%

Bruins Cover

67.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

PHI By 1 goal

12.6%

PHI By 2-3 goals

10.0%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

28.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.88
PHILADELPHIA
3.8
BOSTON
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 BOS @ PHI 1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026 PHI @ BOS 3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025 PHI @ BOS 3 - 2
Sep 27, 2025 BOS @ PHI 4 - 3
Dec 7, 2024 PHI @ BOS 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +50.9% more
Boston: 3.4 vs Philadelphia: 2.2
Hits (L5) +23.3% more
Boston: 22.0 vs Philadelphia: 17.9
Faceoff % (L5) +5.2%
Boston: 53.0% vs Philadelphia: 47.8%
Blocked Shots (L5) +24.8% more
Philadelphia: 18.4 vs Boston: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.9 3
BOS Score 3.8 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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