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BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

0-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Sep 27 • 5:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

0-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
BRUINS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Boston)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

62.9%

Flyers Cover

37.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1 goal

19.5%

BOS By 2-3 goals

25.9%

PHI By 1 goal

14.1%

PHI By 2-3 goals

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.89
BOSTON
3.23
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 BOS @ PHI 1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026 PHI @ BOS 3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025 PHI @ BOS 3 - 2
Sep 27, 2025 BOS @ PHI 4 - 3
Dec 7, 2024 PHI @ BOS 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +35.6% more
Boston: 24.6 vs Philadelphia: 15.8
Takeaways (L5) +33.5% more
Boston: 5.1 vs Philadelphia: 3.4
Faceoff % (L5) +5.2%
Boston: 53.0% vs Philadelphia: 47.8%
Blocked Shots (L5) +33.0% more
Philadelphia: 18.4 vs Boston: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.9 4
PHI Score 3.2 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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