PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
12-12-0 | Road
5
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
12-12-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 5.00 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
5.00
--
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
50%
BLUE JACKETS
50%
FLYERS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
PHI By 1 goal
16.3%
PHI By 2-3 goals
16.0%
CBJ By 1 goal
18.4%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
21.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3.1
PHILADELPHIA
Columbus
3.35
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
A
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
PHI @ CBJ
3 - 5
Apr 15, 2025
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 0
Jan 14, 2025
PHI @ CBJ
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+21.2% more
Columbus: 22.4
vs
Philadelphia: 18.5
Power Play % (L5)
+7.3%
Columbus: 23.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 15.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+14.5%
Philadelphia: 53.8%
vs
Columbus: 39.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+12.8% more
Philadelphia: 4.9
vs
Columbus: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.1
5
CBJ Score
3.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.0 / 17.0
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
39.3 / 53.8
64.4 / 35.6
Hits
22.4 / 18.5
26.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
23.0 / 15.7
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.9 / 28.0
18.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.9
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
PHI
CBJ
PHI
ML
50%
1-1
80%
4-1
100%
2-0
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
1-1
40%
2-3
50%
1-1
40%
2-3
TTL
50%
1-1
20%
1-4
0%
0-2
40%
2-3
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