COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
13-15-5 | Road
4
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
14-15-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 4.72 | 0.833 | -- |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.72
GAA
--
0.833
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
48%
FLYERS
52%
BLUE JACKETS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CBJ By 1 goal
15.9%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
15.3%
PHI By 1 goal
18.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
22.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.53
COLUMBUS
Philadelphia
2.85
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flyers
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
PHI @ CBJ
3 - 5
Apr 15, 2025
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 0
Jan 14, 2025
PHI @ CBJ
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+63.8% more
Philadelphia: 4.2
vs
Columbus: 2.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.0%
Philadelphia: 54.5%
vs
Columbus: 46.5%
Power Play % (L5)
+27.3%
Columbus: 31.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 4.3%
Hits (L5)
+21.5% more
Columbus: 20.4
vs
Philadelphia: 16.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.5
4
PHI Score
2.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 16.4
11.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
54.5 / 46.5
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
16.0 / 20.4
14.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
426.0 / 3158.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.0 / 27.5
30.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 2.6
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CBJ
PHI
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
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