PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
19-20-5 | Road
2
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
20-17-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ivan Fedotov
#82 | G@
GOALTENDER
Zach Werenski
#8 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov | None-None | 1.85 | 0.929 | -- |
| Zach Werenski | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.85
GAA
--
0.929
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
45%
BLUE JACKETS
55%
FLYERS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
PHI By 1 goal
14.6%
PHI By 2-3 goals
12.9%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.3%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
25.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3.33
PHILADELPHIA
Columbus
3.9
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
A
Sim
Flyers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
PHI @ CBJ
3 - 5
Apr 15, 2025
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 0
Jan 14, 2025
PHI @ CBJ
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.1% more
Columbus: 5.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.8
Power Play % (L5)
+16.5%
Columbus: 44.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 27.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.4% more
Columbus: 21.8
vs
Philadelphia: 19.2
Hits (L5)
+44.9% more
Philadelphia: 22.8
vs
Columbus: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.3
2
CBJ Score
3.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
21.8 / 19.2
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.8 / 50.1
46.2 / 53.8
Hits
12.6 / 22.8
13.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
4411.0 / 2766.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 29.3
28.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 3.8
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
PHI
CBJ
PHI
ML
50%
1-1
80%
4-1
100%
2-0
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
1-1
40%
2-3
50%
1-1
40%
2-3
TTL
50%
1-1
20%
1-4
0%
0-2
40%
2-3
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