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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

42-16-4  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Mar 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

27-27-8  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Dylan Samberg
GOALTENDER

Dylan Samberg

#54 | Defense
@
Egor Zamula
GOALTENDER

Egor Zamula

#5 | D
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Samberg None-None -- -- --
Egor Zamula None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
FLYERS
0%
JETS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Philadelphia)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

28.8%

Flyers Cover

71.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

WPG By 1 goal

11.4%

WPG By 2-3 goals

8.5%

PHI By 1 goal

19.7%

PHI By 2-3 goals

30.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.63
WINNIPEG
3.75
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
3
WINNIPEG
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flyers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flyers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim Jets (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 11, 2026 PHI @ WPG 7 - 1
Oct 16, 2025 WPG @ PHI 5 - 2
Mar 6, 2025 WPG @ PHI 4 - 1
Mar 1, 2025 PHI @ WPG 2 - 1
Feb 8, 2024 WPG @ PHI 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +56.2% more
Philadelphia: 17.2 vs Winnipeg: 11.0
Hits (L5) +13.9% more
Winnipeg: 21.1 vs Philadelphia: 18.2
Takeaways (L5) +12.7% more
Winnipeg: 6.5 vs Philadelphia: 5.6
Power Play % (L5) +12.6%
Winnipeg: 25.0% vs Philadelphia: 12.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 2.6 4
PHI Score 3.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.2 / 11.0 11.0 / 22.0
Faceoff % 48.7 / 49.4 48.9 / 51.1
Hits 18.2 / 21.1 29.0 / 6.0
Power Play % 12.4 / 25.0 0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 31.0 / 29.3 22.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 5.6 / 6.5 10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
98%MONEY2%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
WPG
PHI
WPG
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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