PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
26-26-8 | Road
2
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
42-15-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ivan Fedotov
#82 | G@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov | None-None | 0.92 | 0.967 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 0.92 | 0.969 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.92
GAA
0.92
0.967
Save %
Ldr 0.969
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
JETS
100%
FLYERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1 goal
19.3%
PHI By 2-3 goals
24.7%
WPG By 1 goal
14.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
13.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3.57
PHILADELPHIA
Winnipeg
3.02
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
PHI @ WPG
7 - 1
Oct 16, 2025
WPG @ PHI
5 - 2
Mar 6, 2025
WPG @ PHI
4 - 1
Mar 1, 2025
PHI @ WPG
2 - 1
Feb 8, 2024
WPG @ PHI
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+45.3% more
Philadelphia: 6.4
vs
Winnipeg: 3.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.3% more
Philadelphia: 16.5
vs
Winnipeg: 12.8
Power Play % (L5)
+21.7%
Philadelphia: 27.9%
vs
Winnipeg: 6.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.8%
Philadelphia: 47.8%
vs
Winnipeg: 46.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.6
2
WPG Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 16.5
12.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
46.0 / 47.8
53.8 / 46.2
Hits
21.0 / 18.7
29.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
621.0 / 2793.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 32.0
30.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
3.5 / 6.4
10.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
PHI
WPG
PHI
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…
!role~Preview!mt~photo!fmt~JPEG%20Baseline)
Flyers Land Michael Bunting in Bid to Stop Early Season Skid
Phillies Poised for Payroll Flexibility as Walker and Castellano…
Flyers' Roster Shake-Up: Denver Barkey Returns, Nikita Grebenkin…