Recent Articles
In-depth analysis, analytics strategies, and platform updates from the ATSwins team.
MLB Player Prop Projection vs Sportsbook Line Explained
A data-driven breakdown of how MLB player prop projections differ from sportsbook lines, and how to evaluate value using probability and modeling.
How to Find Mispriced MLB Player Props Using Data
Learn how to find mispriced MLB player props using projections, probability, and market comparison. A data-driven guide to smarter baseball analysis.
The Math Behind Winning MLB Player Props | ATSwins.ai
Discover the quantitative models, probability distributions, and data science strategies behind evaluating Major League Baseball player props with ATSwins.ai.
MLB Player Prop Analysis: How Data and Modeling Shape Better Decisions
Learn how MLB player prop analysis works using projections, probability models, and fair odds. A data-driven guide to smarter baseball prop evaluation.
Why We Ignore Longshot Player Props in Sports Analytics
Discover the psychological biases and mathematical realities behind why sports fans and data nerds ignore longshot player props, and how modeling changes the view.
Expected Value in MLB Player Props: How to Evaluate Prop Bets with Data
Expected Value in MLB Player Props: How to Evaluate Prop Bets with Data
How to Find Positive EV Player Props Using Data Instead of Guesswork
Learn how to identify positive EV player props by comparing your projected probabilities with sportsbook odds instead of relying on recent performances or intuition. ATSwins.ai combines statistical modeling, simulations, matchup analysis, and market evaluation to uncover potential value across NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and college sports through a disciplined, probability-driven approach.
Why Strikeout Props Are More Predictable Than Home Runs
Discover why MLB strikeout props offer better predictability than home run props through sports analytics, sample size stabilization, and variance reduction.
How AI Player Prop Models Work: The Data Behind Smarter Sports Projections
Discover how AI-powered player prop models analyze historical performance, matchups, playing time, injuries, pace, weather, and other key variables to project individual athlete performance. ATSwins.ai uses probability-based forecasting to compare player projections with market expectations, helping create more informed, data-driven player prop analysis across every major sport.