LA
CLIPPERSLAC
6-5 | Road
103
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
7-4 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
ROCKETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
LAC By 1-7 points
24.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
13.5%
HOU By 1-7 points
26.3%
HOU By 8-14 points
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
111.86
LA
Houston
113
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
LA
110
LA
Houston
102
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
LAC @ HOU
105 - 102
Feb 10, 2026
LAC @ HOU
95 - 102
Dec 23, 2025
HOU @ LAC
108 - 128
Dec 11, 2025
LAC @ HOU
113 - 115
Apr 9, 2025
HOU @ LAC
117 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.9% more
Houston: 9.5
vs
LA: 6.9
Blocks (L5)
+25.2% more
Houston: 6.4
vs
LA: 5.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.3% more
Houston: 52.3
vs
LA: 45.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.5%
Houston: 77.7%
vs
LA: 76.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
111.9
103
HOU Score
113.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.8 / 45.5
37.5 / 36.8
Assists
18.6 / 25.0
28.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.4 / 5.1
11.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 49.7
43.3 / 39.6
Free Throw %
77.7 / 76.2
70.6 / 81.3
Rebounding
52.3 / 45.3
59.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.5 / 6.9
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 19.2
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAC
HOU
LAC
ML
61%
69-44
60%
59-40
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
ATS
62%
70-43
66%
65-33-1
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
TTL
51%
58-55
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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