Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cardinals @ Seahawks ARI @ SEA

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

3-6  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Nov 8 • 4:25 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

5-4  |  Home

17
Key Game
Blake Gillikin
KEY GAME

Blake Gillikin

#12 | Punter
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Blake Gillikin None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
16%
📊
SEAHAWKS
84%
▲ Edge: +3.20% (SEA)
CARDINALS 23% Book Odds: +345
SEAHAWKS 81% Book Odds: -416
Book Implied: 22.50% / 80.60%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.4
Projected
Book Total
39.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +6.9 (Over)
Over 39.5 71%
Under 39.5 29%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
-8.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Seattle)
CardinalsARI (+8.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (-8.5)
Seattle Seahawks (-8.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

19.6%

Seahawks Cover

80.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SEA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

ARI By 1-6 points

9.3%

ARI By 7-13 points

5.9%

SEA By 1-6 points

14.2%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
17.2
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 15.50
29.2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 24
Simulated Score
17
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 15.50
28
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 24
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Seahawks Win
84% Win Prob
A
Sim Seahawks Win
86% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Seahawks (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
B
Sim Seahawks (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o39.5 Loss
Proj Total: 46.4
A
Sim o39.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2026 ARI @ SEA 3 - 17
Sep 20, 2026 SEA @ ARI 31 - 7
Nov 9, 2025 ARI @ SEA 22 - 44
Sep 25, 2025 SEA @ ARI 23 - 20
Dec 8, 2024 SEA @ ARI 30 - 18
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +37.8% more
Seattle: 1.6 vs Arizona: 1.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +16.5% more
Arizona: 131.0 vs Seattle: 109.4
Total Yards (L5) +14.4% more
Arizona: 374.3 vs Seattle: 320.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +13.3% more
Arizona: 243.3 vs Seattle: 210.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 17.2 3
SEA Score 29.2 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.5 / 22.4 21.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards 210.9 / 243.3 175.0 / 148.0
Rushing Yards 109.4 / 131.0 120.0 / 50.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 320.3 / 374.3 295.0 / 198.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 1.2 0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.0 / 5.1 4.8 / 3.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +525 / -752 → +345 / -416 ↓
5%TICKETS95%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +13.5 / -13.5 → +8.5 / -8.5 ↓
37%TICKETS63%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: 45.5 → 39.5 ↓
79%TICKETS21%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
3-6-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: -2.1
SEA Advantage
5-4-0 (55.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI Advantage
4-5-0 (44.4%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: -2.1
SEA
3-4-2 (42.9%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
5-4-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +0.5
SEA
4-5-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ARI
SEA
ARI
ML
56% 5-4
67% 6-3
56% 5-4
22% 2-7
ATS
57% 4-3-2
89% 8-1
57% 4-3-2
33% 3-6
TTL
11% 1-8
44% 4-5
56% 5-4
33% 3-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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