MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
9-3-2 | Road
3
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
8-5-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 3.14 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.14
0.963 Ldr
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
53%
MAMMOTH
47%
▲ Edge: +2.20% (MIN)
WILD
51%
Book Odds: -102
MAMMOTH
54%
Book Odds: -118
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
43%
Under 6.5
57%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
18.9%
MIN By 2-3 goals
34.9%
UTA By 1 goal
8.6%
UTA By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.8
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Utah
2.2
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Utah
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Win
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim
Mammoth (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 27, 2026
MIN @ UTA
3 - 1
Mar 10, 2026
UTA @ MIN
0 - 5
Feb 27, 2026
MIN @ UTA
2 - 5
Oct 25, 2025
UTA @ MIN
6 - 2
Feb 27, 2025
MIN @ UTA
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+33.4% more
Minnesota: 4.4
vs
Utah: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.7% more
Minnesota: 34.0
vs
Utah: 30.0
Power Play % (L5)
+21.9%
Utah: 41.2%
vs
Minnesota: 19.3%
Hits (L5)
+14.9% more
Utah: 27.6
vs
Minnesota: 24.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.8
3
UTA Score
2.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.2 / 11.9
20.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
57.1 / 47.2
62.0 / 38.0
Hits
27.6 / 24.0
22.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
41.2 / 19.3
0.0 / 28.6
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 34.0
27.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 4.4
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +120 / -142
→
-102 / -118
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
MIN
UTA
MIN
ML
62%
13-8
64%
14-8
57%
12-9
59%
13-9
ATS
52%
11-10
59%
13-9
57%
12-9
50%
11-11
TTL
33%
7-14
70%
14-6-2
57%
12-9
65%
13-7-2
Contextual Game News
