MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
8-3-2 | Road
4
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
2-10-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Calvin Pickard
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Leevi Merilainen
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | None-None | 2.00 | 0.882 | -- |
| Leevi Merilainen | None-None | 4.20 | 0.882 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.20
0.882
Save %
0.882
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
79%
CANUCKS
21%
▲ Edge: +11.70% (MIN)
WILD
67%
Book Odds: -205
CANUCKS
37%
Book Odds: +170
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5
50%
Under 6.5
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
MIN By 1 goal
19.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
34.1%
VAN By 1 goal
9.2%
VAN By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
Vancouver
2.5
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Wild
Win
79% Win Prob
A
Sim
Wild
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Canucks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 25, 2026
MIN @ VAN
4 - 2
Apr 2, 2026
VAN @ MIN
2 - 5
Dec 6, 2025
MIN @ VAN
2 - 4
Nov 1, 2025
VAN @ MIN
2 - 5
Apr 12, 2025
MIN @ VAN
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+51.8% more
Minnesota: 34.0
vs
Vancouver: 16.4
Power Play % (L5)
+21.8%
Vancouver: 30.7%
vs
Minnesota: 8.9%
Hits (L5)
+19.0% more
Vancouver: 23.8
vs
Minnesota: 20.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.2% more
Vancouver: 14.9
vs
Minnesota: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.0
4
VAN Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 12.9
11.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 47.5
53.3 / 46.7
Hits
23.8 / 20.0
20.0 / 32.0
Power Play %
30.7 / 8.9
0.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
16.4 / 34.0
17.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 4.2
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -170 / +142
→
-205 / +170
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
MIN
VAN
MIN
ML
85%
17-3
62%
13-8
70%
14-6
57%
12-9
ATS
55%
11-9
57%
12-9
45%
9-11
52%
11-10
TTL
50%
10-10
68%
13-6-2
55%
11-9
68%
13-6-2
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