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MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

6-3-2  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Oct 22 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

3-6-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
@
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 2.07 0.909 --
Devin Cooley None-None 1.00 0.973 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.07 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.909 Save % Ldr 0.973
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
74%
📊
FLAMES
26%
▲ Edge: +5% (MIN)
WILD 69% Book Odds: -218
FLAMES 36% Book Odds: +180
Book Implied: 68.60% / 35.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 41%
Under 6.5 59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Minnesota)
WildMIN (-1.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+1.5)
Minnesota Wild (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

78.8%

Flames Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1 goal

18.9%

MIN By 2-3 goals

34.9%

CGY By 1 goal

8.6%

CGY By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
2.2
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
4
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Wild Loss
74% Win Prob
A
Sim Flames Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wild (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 22, 2026 MIN @ CGY 1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026 CGY @ MIN 1 - 4
Dec 4, 2025 MIN @ CGY 1 - 4
Nov 9, 2025 CGY @ MIN 0 - 2
Apr 11, 2025 MIN @ CGY 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +19.1% more
Calgary: 4.6 vs Minnesota: 3.8
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.6% more
Calgary: 15.1 vs Minnesota: 13.0
Power Play % (L5) +3.1%
Calgary: 23.1% vs Minnesota: 20.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.8 1
CGY Score 2.2 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.1 / 13.0 12.0 / 8.0
Faceoff % 52.9 / 52.3 43.4 / 56.6
Hits 19.9 / 20.7 25.0 / 26.0
Power Play % 23.1 / 20.0 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 31.7 / 31.0 22.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 4.6 / 3.8 1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -180 / +150 → -218 / +180 ↓
95%TICKETS5%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
59%TICKETS41%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6.5 ↑
83%TICKETS17%
88%MONEY12%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
MIN
CGY
MIN
ML
44% 8-10
63% 12-7
50% 9-9
53% 10-9
ATS
28% 5-13
53% 10-9
56% 10-8
53% 10-9
TTL
53% 9-8-1
71% 12-5-2
41% 7-10-1
65% 11-6-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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