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CHICAGO

BEARSCHI

6-2  |  Road

34
FINAL
Mon, Nov 2 • 8:15 PM ET
Lumen Field
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

4-4  |  Home

17
Key Game
Tory Taylor
KEY GAME

Tory Taylor

#19 | Punter
@
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
Player
Tory Taylor None-None
Michael Dickson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
34%
📊
SEAHAWKS
66%
▲ Edge: +2.50% (SEA)
BEARS 39% Book Odds: +155
SEAHAWKS 63% Book Odds: -173
Book Implied: 39.20% / 63.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.6
Projected
Book Total
46.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.9 (Under)
Over 46.5 47%
Under 46.5 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
-3.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Seattle)
BearsCHI (+3.5) 0 SeahawksSEA (-3.5)
Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

33.4%

Seahawks Cover

66.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SEA -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

CHI By 1-6 points

13.5%

CHI By 7-13 points

10.4%

SEA By 1-6 points

16.7%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
19.8
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 21.50
25.8
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 25
Simulated Score
21
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 21.50
24
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 25
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Loss
66% Win Prob
B
Sim Seahawks Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
C
Sim Bears (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u46.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.6
D
Sim u46.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 2, 2026 CHI @ SEA 34 - 17
Dec 26, 2024 SEA @ CHI 6 - 3
Dec 26, 2021 CHI @ SEA 25 - 24
Sep 17, 2018 SEA @ CHI 17 - 24
Sep 27, 2015 CHI @ SEA 0 - 26
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +41.3% more
Seattle: 2.0 vs Chicago: 1.4
Net Passing Yards (L5) +8.9% more
Chicago: 253.3 vs Seattle: 230.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 19.8 34
SEA Score 25.8 17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.7 / 21.7 18.0 / 22.0
Net Passing Yards 230.8 / 253.3 171.0 / 237.0
Rushing Yards 123.7 / 125.5 81.0 / 126.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.09 / 0.47
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.6 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 354.5 / 378.8 252.0 / 363.0
Turnovers 2.0 / 1.4 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 5.3 4.5 / 5.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +180 / -218 → +155 / -173 ↓
25%TICKETS75%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +4.5 / -4.5 → +3.5 / -3.5 ↓
59%TICKETS41%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: 47.5 → 46.5 ↓
51%TICKETS49%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI Advantage
6-2-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +5.5
SEA
4-4-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
6-2-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +5.5
SEA
2-4-2 (33.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: 0.0
SEA
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CHI
SEA
CHI
ML
50% 4-4
75% 6-2
50% 4-4
75% 6-2
ATS
50% 3-3-2
62% 5-3
50% 3-3-2
88% 7-1
TTL
12% 1-7
0% 0-8
62% 5-3
12% 1-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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