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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

8-2-1  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Oct 20 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

2-8-1  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Pyotr Kochetkov
GOALTENDER

Pyotr Kochetkov

#52 | Goaltender
@
Leevi Merilainen
GOALTENDER

Leevi Merilainen

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Pyotr Kochetkov None-None 3.00 0.824 --
Leevi Merilainen None-None 5.07 0.884 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 5.07
0.824 Save % Ldr 0.884
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
82%
📊
CANUCKS
18%
▲ Edge: +8.20% (CAR)
HURRICANES 74% Book Odds: -277
CANUCKS 29% Book Odds: +241
Book Implied: 73.50% / 29.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.5 59%
Under 6.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vancouver)
HurricanesCAR (-1.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+1.5)
Vancouver Canucks (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

24.2%

Canucks Cover

75.8%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

CAR By 1 goal

19.4%

CAR By 2-3 goals

33.3%

VAN By 1 goal

9.8%

VAN By 2-3 goals

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
2.8
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
3
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
2
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Win
82% Win Prob
A
Sim Hurricanes Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canucks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.4
D
Sim Canucks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 20, 2026 CAR @ VAN 6 - 3
Oct 8, 2026 VAN @ CAR 2 - 7
Mar 4, 2026 CAR @ VAN 6 - 4
Nov 14, 2025 VAN @ CAR 3 - 4
Jan 10, 2025 VAN @ CAR 0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +46.9% more
Carolina: 35.0 vs Vancouver: 18.6
Takeaways (L5) +26.7% more
Carolina: 5.0 vs Vancouver: 3.7
Power Play % (L5) +6.1%
Carolina: 31.4% vs Vancouver: 25.3%
Faceoff % (L5) +5.3%
Carolina: 48.4% vs Vancouver: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 4.2 6
VAN Score 2.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.9 / 11.6 14.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 43.2 / 48.4 52.5 / 47.5
Hits 21.7 / 19.7 26.0 / 10.0
Power Play % 25.3 / 31.4 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 18.6 / 35.0 17.0 / 44.0
Takeaways 3.7 / 5.0 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -278 / +225 → -277 / +241 ↓
96%TICKETS4%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
80%TICKETS20%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
90%TICKETS10%
97%MONEY3%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CAR
VAN
CAR
ML
84% 16-3
79% 15-4
68% 13-6
53% 10-9
ATS
53% 10-9
53% 10-9
47% 9-10
58% 11-8
TTL
47% 9-10
39% 7-11-1
53% 10-9
50% 9-9-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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