Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Blue Jackets NYR @ CBJ

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

6-3-1  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Oct 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

3-3-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Dylan Garand
GOALTENDER

Dylan Garand

#33 | Goaltender
@
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Garand None-None 0.95 0.966 --
Jet Greaves None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.95 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.966 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
43%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
57%
▲ Edge: +0.80% (CBJ)
RANGERS 46% Book Odds: +117
BLUE JACKETS 57% Book Odds: -130
Book Implied: 46.10% / 56.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0 49%
Under 6.0 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Columbus)
RangersNYR (+1.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (-1.5)
Columbus Blue Jackets (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

21.2%

Blue Jackets Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

NYR By 1 goal

8.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

5.5%

CBJ By 1 goal

18.9%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
3.8
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
4
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets Win
57% Win Prob
C
Sim Blue Jackets Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 17, 2026 NYR @ CBJ 0 - 1
Mar 19, 2026 NYR @ CBJ 3 - 6
Mar 2, 2026 CBJ @ NYR 5 - 4
Nov 15, 2025 NYR @ CBJ 2 - 1
Mar 15, 2025 NYR @ CBJ 4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.7% more
Columbus: 27.1 vs New York: 21.9
Hits (L5) +37.6% more
New York: 28.4 vs Columbus: 17.7
Power Play % (L5) +9.8%
New York: 22.9% vs Columbus: 13.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 2.2 0
CBJ Score 3.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.5 / 17.0 19.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 57.5 / 56.0 52.2 / 47.8
Hits 17.7 / 28.4 22.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 1317.0 / 2294.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.1 / 21.9 29.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 4.9 / 4.5 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +120 / -142 → +117 / -130 ↓
36%TICKETS64%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
90%TICKETS10%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6 ↓
96%TICKETS4%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
NYR
CBJ
NYR
ML
38% 5-8
62% 10-6
69% 9-4
44% 7-9
ATS
31% 4-9
56% 9-7
69% 9-4
50% 8-8
TTL
46% 6-7
56% 9-7
54% 7-6
50% 8-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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