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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

3-3-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Oct 15 • 8:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

5-2-1  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 5.22 0.868 --
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 4.01 0.840 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.22 GAA Ldr 4.01
0.868 Ldr Save % 0.840
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
28%
đź“Š
WILD
72%
â–˛ Edge: +13.80% (MIN)
BLUES 46% Book Odds: +120
WILD 59% Book Odds: -142
Book Implied: 45.50% / 58.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5 42%
Under 5.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
BluesSTL (+1.5) 0 WildMIN (-1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

77.3%

Wild Cover

22.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

9.2%

STL By 2-3 goals

6.1%

MIN By 1 goal

19.1%

MIN By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2
3.5
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
4
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2
3
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Wild Win
72% Win Prob
A
Sim Blues Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Blues (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
B
Sim o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 15, 2026 STL @ MIN 4 - 5
Apr 13, 2026 MIN @ STL 3 - 6
Mar 1, 2026 STL @ MIN 3 - 1
Oct 9, 2025 MIN @ STL 5 - 0
Mar 15, 2025 STL @ MIN 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +35.8% more
Minnesota: 26.0 vs St. Louis: 19.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +33.1% more
Minnesota: 16.2 vs St. Louis: 12.2
Power Play % (L5) +22.8%
Minnesota: 38.9% vs St. Louis: 16.0%
Takeaways (L5) +13.3% more
Minnesota: 4.9 vs St. Louis: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 2.0 4
MIN Score 3.5 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.2 / 12.2 12.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 54.4 / 48.8 41.8 / 58.2
Hits 26.0 / 19.2 23.0 / 19.0
Power Play % 38.9 / 16.0 20.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 26.3 / 26.2 38.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 4.9 / 4.4 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +140 / -166 → +120 / -142 ↓
12%TICKETS88%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
73%TICKETS27%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
97%TICKETS3%
98%MONEY2%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
STL
MIN
STL
ML
62% 10-6
50% 7-7
44% 7-9
64% 9-5
ATS
44% 7-9
43% 6-8
50% 8-8
50% 7-7
TTL
73% 11-4-1
38% 5-8-1
67% 10-5-1
69% 9-4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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