NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
6-3-0 | Road
1
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
4-3-0 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Spencer Martin
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jonas Siegenthaler
#71 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Martin | None-None | 5.09 | 0.833 | -- |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.09
GAA
--
0.833
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
40%
DEVILS
60%
▲ Edge: +3.20% (NJ)
RANGERS
46%
Book Odds: +117
DEVILS
56%
Book Odds: -129
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0
49%
Under 6.0
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NYR By 1 goal
8.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
5.5%
NJ By 1 goal
18.9%
NJ By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
New Jersey
3.8
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Devils
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rangers
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Devils (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Rangers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 15, 2026
NYR @ NJ
1 - 7
Mar 31, 2026
NJ @ NYR
1 - 4
Mar 18, 2026
NJ @ NYR
6 - 3
Mar 7, 2026
NYR @ NJ
3 - 6
Oct 2, 2025
NJ @ NYR
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+53.9% more
New Jersey: 36.0
vs
New York: 23.4
Takeaways (L5)
+34.9% more
New Jersey: 5.1
vs
New York: 3.8
Power Play % (L5)
+24.5%
New Jersey: 46.4%
vs
New York: 21.9%
Hits (L5)
+53.4% more
New York: 30.1
vs
New Jersey: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.2
1
NJ Score
3.8
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 14.0
13.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 57.3
46.7 / 53.3
Hits
14.0 / 30.1
15.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
46.4 / 21.9
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
36.0 / 23.4
31.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 3.8
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +124 / -148
→
+117 / -129
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
NYR
NJ
NYR
ML
50%
7-7
67%
10-5
57%
8-6
47%
7-8
ATS
50%
7-7
60%
9-6
50%
7-7
53%
8-7
TTL
33%
4-8-2
60%
9-6
50%
6-6-2
53%
8-7
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