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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

2-6-1  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Oct 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

4-2-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Leevi Merilainen
GOALTENDER

Leevi Merilainen

#31 | Goaltender
@
Akira Schmid
GOALTENDER

Akira Schmid

#40 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Leevi Merilainen None-None 2.89 0.923 --
Akira Schmid None-None 2.00 0.882 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.89 GAA Ldr 2.00
0.923 Ldr Save % 0.882
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
27%
📊
PANTHERS
73%
CANUCKS 28% Book Odds: +255
PANTHERS 75% Book Odds: -294
Book Implied: 28.20% / 74.60%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.0 59%
Under 6.0 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
CanucksVAN (+1.5) 0 PanthersFLA (-1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

77.3%

Panthers Cover

22.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

VAN By 1 goal

9.2%

VAN By 2-3 goals

6.1%

FLA By 1 goal

19.1%

FLA By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.5
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.20
4
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
2
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.20
4
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Panthers Win
73% Win Prob
A
Sim Panthers Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Canucks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 15, 2026 VAN @ FLA 2 - 3
Mar 17, 2026 FLA @ VAN 2 - 5
Nov 17, 2025 VAN @ FLA 5 - 8
Dec 12, 2024 FLA @ VAN 0 - 4
Oct 17, 2024 VAN @ FLA 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.3% more
Florida: 26.6 vs Vancouver: 22.9
Power Play % (L5) +14.7%
Florida: 34.1% vs Vancouver: 19.4%
Hits (L5) +8.7% more
Florida: 31.1 vs Vancouver: 28.6
Faceoff % (L5) +3.2%
Florida: 46.6% vs Vancouver: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.5 2
FLA Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.8 / 13.8 7.0 / 20.0
Faceoff % 46.6 / 43.4 49.2 / 50.8
Hits 31.1 / 28.6 21.0 / 15.0
Power Play % 3408.0 / 1936.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.6 / 22.9 39.0 / 17.0
Takeaways 3.9 / 5.0 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +240 / -298 → +255 / -294
5%TICKETS95%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
31%TICKETS69%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6 ↓
98%TICKETS2%
99%MONEY1%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
VAN
FLA
VAN
ML
60% 9-6
81% 13-3
40% 6-9
69% 11-5
ATS
53% 8-7
50% 8-8
47% 7-8
44% 7-9
TTL
53% 8-7
50% 8-8
47% 7-8
56% 9-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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