MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
4-2-1 | Road
2
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
4-1-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Calvin Pickard
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Stuart Skinner
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | None-None | 5.00 | 0.800 | -- |
| Stuart Skinner | None-None | 2.01 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 2.01
0.800
Save %
Ldr 0.905
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
55%
JETS
45%
▲ Edge: +2.40% (MIN)
WILD
52%
Book Odds: -110
JETS
52%
Book Odds: -110
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5
34%
Under 6.5
66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
19.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
34.1%
WPG By 1 goal
9.2%
WPG By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.5
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim
Wild (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
A
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 13, 2026
MIN @ WPG
2 - 5
Jan 15, 2026
WPG @ MIN
6 - 2
Dec 27, 2025
MIN @ WPG
4 - 3
Nov 23, 2025
MIN @ WPG
3 - 0
Oct 28, 2025
WPG @ MIN
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+44.3%
Minnesota: 58.3%
vs
Winnipeg: 14.0%
Hits (L5)
+19.8% more
Minnesota: 22.0
vs
Winnipeg: 17.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.1% more
Minnesota: 29.0
vs
Winnipeg: 23.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.7% more
Minnesota: 15.8
vs
Winnipeg: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.5
2
WPG Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 15.8
17.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
46.9 / 52.6
42.0 / 58.0
Hits
17.7 / 22.0
22.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
14.0 / 58.3
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.8 / 29.0
25.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.4
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +105 / -125
→
-110 / -110
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
MIN
WPG
MIN
ML
64%
9-5
67%
10-5
57%
8-6
40%
6-9
ATS
29%
4-10
47%
7-8
86%
12-2
53%
8-7
TTL
50%
7-7
71%
10-4-1
57%
8-6
64%
9-5-1
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